WHAT THE EVIDENCE SHOWS
Manitoba Trucking Association
Crashes are the ultimate measure of commercial truck safety, but predicting the likelihood of a crash is a big challenge. Starting in 2005 and following up in 2011, 2018, and most recently in October 2022,
The American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI) has published a series of major research papers called Predicting Truck Crash Involvement that assess different types of rule violations as predictors of truck crashes.
The data set of 583,805 drivers was also studied for the number of crashes they experienced between January 1, 2017,and December 31, 2018; the results are shown in Table 3.
Table 6 shows, in ranked order, the types of driver behaviour that increased the likelihood of the driver experiencing a future crash.